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FIRST BANCSHARES INC /MS/ (FBMS)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2024 delivered stable profitability and margin expansion: diluted EPS was $0.62 (operating EPS $0.63), net income was $19.7M, and NIM (FTE) expanded 6 bps to 3.32% while core NIM (FTE) rose 9 bps to 3.19% .
  • Loan growth was strong (+$111M; ~8.6% annualized) on robust originations ($448.7M at 7.92% blended yield); deposit costs plateaued (1.78%), supporting the margin backdrop .
  • Credit quality remained solid: NPAs at 0.26% of assets, NCOs at 0.04% of total loans, and ACL at 1.05% of loans; minor upticks in NPAs/nonaccrual were described as manageable .
  • Strategic catalyst: On July 29, FBMS announced an all-stock merger into Renasant (exchange ratio 1.00 Renasant share per FBMS share), positioning for regional scale; shareholder votes and regulatory approvals remain pending .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Margin tailwinds: “We were able to see margin expansion, and our margin expanded 6 basis points, and our core margin was up, actually 9 basis points” .
  • Deposit costs stabilized: CFO noted the “cost of deposits remained the same at 1.78%,” with monthly cadence improving into June (1.74%) .
  • Production strength and footprint breadth: Q2 new loan production of $448.7M at 7.92% yield; Mississippi contributed 35% of production and Georgia had its strongest quarter since the merger .

What Went Wrong

  • Sequential earnings dip driven by higher provision: Net earnings of $19.7M ($0.62 diluted) were down $0.9M q/q due to a $1.7M provision associated with loan growth (vs. 0 in Q1) .
  • Deposit contraction and expected public funds runoff: Deposits decreased $84.2M q/q (~1.3%), including $38.3M public funds, with further runoff expected through year-end .
  • Loan yields down slightly from late-fee dynamics and competitive pricing: Loan yield decline was partly due to lower late fees and some competitive pressure; new originations still near ~7.90% .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Adjusted Operating Revenue ($USD Millions)$70.705 $71.018 $72.116
Net Income ($USD Millions)$11.0 $20.6 $19.7
Diluted EPS, Operating ($USD)$0.59 $0.65 $0.63
NIM (FTE, %)3.33% 3.26% 3.32%
Core NIM (FTE, %)3.14% 3.10% 3.19%
ROAA, Operating (%)0.95% 1.03% 1.01%
ROATCE, Operating (%)13.4% 13.5% 12.8%
Efficiency Ratio, Operating (%)62.0% 61.1% 60.6%

Segment/KPI detail:

  • Non-interest income composition (Q2 2024): Interchange 37%, Service charges 25%, Mortgage 7%, Other fees 31% .
  • Loan portfolio mix (Q2 2024): Owner-occupied CRE 24%, Non-owner CRE 22%, 1–4 family 19%, C&I 13%, C&D 12%, Multifamily 3%, HELOC 2%, Other 4% .
  • Credit metrics (Q2 2024): NPAs/Assets 0.26%; NCOs/Loans 0.04%; ACL/Loans 1.05% .
  • Capital/liquidity: CET1 12.4%, TCE/TA 8.3%, leverage ratio 10.0%; loan/deposit ~79% .
  • Production: Q2 new loan production $448.7M; blended yield 7.92% .
  • Deposits: Cost 1.78%; cumulative IB deposit beta 43%; uninsured deposits 16.0% .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Interest Margin (FTE)H2 2024Slight compression early-’24; stabilization midyear (Q1 call) Flattish near Q2 level; “give or take a couple bps” in H2 Maintained but more stable outlook
Operating ExpensesFY 2024~$170–$171M run-rate discussed in Q4 call; ~$44M per quarter (Q4) ~$176–$177M for FY; ~$44M+ per quarter in Q3–Q4 Raised
Loan GrowthH2 2024Mid single-digit for FY (Q1) Mid single-digit in back half; 4% full-year pace viewed as fair Maintained
Public Funds DepositsFY 2024Seasonal inflows Q1 then outflows later (Q1) Expect ~$100M+ runoff remainder of year; typical $200–$300M annual swing Clarified magnitude
Brokered CDsQ3 2024N/AMaturities replaced at same cost; some additions Operational update
Securities Repositioning2024December 2023 reposition improved earn-back (~2.1 years) (Q4) Evaluating similar trade again if economics comparable Potential repeat

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2023 & Q1 2024)Current Period (Q2 2024)Trend
Deposit cost pressureIntense campaigns in Q4; early-’24 still competitive; beta to 38% in Q4, 43% in Q1 Costs flattened at 1.78%; June down to 1.74%; fewer visible campaigns Easing/stabilizing
Margin trajectoryCompression Q4 and slight Q1; potential 8 bps expansion in model over ’24 (from lower base) Flattish from Q2 levels; conservatively modeled Stabilizing
Loan yields/competitionRenewals repricing +200–300 bps; origination yield ~8% in Q4/Q1, pressure into high-7% New originations ~7.90%; slight yield decline primarily from lower late fees Slightly softer headline yield; core solid
Public funds seasonalityQ1 inflows, later-year outflows expected Q2 outflows began; further ~$100M+ runoff expected in H2 Normalizing seasonal drag
Credit performanceStrong across Q4/Q1; NPAs and charge-offs trending low NPAs 0.26%; NCOs 0.04%; ACL 1.05%; minor upticks manageable Resilient
Securities strategyQ4 trade (loss) to lift margin/EPS; earn-back ~2.1 years Considering a similar repositioning in 2024 if economics fit Opportunistic
M&A appetiteCautious; few conversations industry-wide (Q1) Announced merger into Renasant (1.00x share exchange) Transformational

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We were very pleased with the performance… Loans grew by $111 million… our margin expanded 6 bps, and our core margin was up 9 bps… credit quality remains strong… pretax pre-provision income was up $800,000 or 2.9%” .
  • CFO: “We did report net earnings of $19.7 million, which was $0.62 on a diluted share… core margin did increase 9 bps to 3.19%… cost of deposits remained the same at 1.78%” .
  • CLO: “Q2 new loan production of about $450 million… Regionally, Mississippi… 35% of the entire Bank’s production; Georgia… accounted for about a 1/4 of all new originations” .
  • CCO: “NPAs ticked up about 3 bps to 26 bps… Net charge-offs at 4 bps… $1.7 million provision kept our ACL at 1.05%… CRE concentrations at 215% of RBC; C&D at 69%” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Loan growth outlook: Expect mid single-digit back-half growth; full-year around ~4% pace given Q1–Q2 mix .
  • Margin path: Flattish near Q2 levels; modeled conservatively amid brokered CD replacements and public fund runoff .
  • Deposit dynamics: Monthly deposit costs showed improvement into June; fewer broad-based competitor campaigns in June .
  • Loan yield drivers: Slight q/q decline largely from lower late fees vs. rate; competition influences pricing into high-7% .
  • Public funds: Seasonal business remains material; expect >$100M runoff rest of year; not actively “running it off” .
  • Securities repositioning: Management evaluating repeating the Q4-style trade if earn-back and yield pickup justify .
  • M&A: Optionality remains, with continuing conversations; valuation helps, but focus on fit and relationships .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus via S&P Global was unavailable for FBMS at the time of this analysis due to a missing mapping in the SPGI CIQ database, so we cannot quantify beat/miss versus Street for Q2 2024. If you’d like, we can source public consensus from alternative providers or retry once S&P mapping is updated [GetEstimates error].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin stabilization appears underway as deposit costs plateau and core NIM (FTE) improves; management guides flattish NIM in H2, a constructive setup for spread-sensitive banks .
  • Robust originations, diversified by region and asset type, support loan growth even as competition nudges pricing; pipeline indicators are favorable into H2 .
  • Credit remains a differentiator: low NCOs, moderate NPAs, and balanced CRE/C&D exposures below interagency thresholds suggest resilience in a higher-for-longer backdrop .
  • Watch seasonal public funds runoff and brokered CD rollovers; these are key moving pieces for balance sheet and NIM in Q3–Q4 .
  • Potential securities repositioning could provide incremental NIM uplift if economics match Q4 trade; timing and earn-back remain critical .
  • The announced merger into Renasant is a strategic catalyst, pending approvals; investors should monitor integration economics, share exchange mechanics, and pro forma capital/earnings accretion .
  • Expense guidance is higher (~$176–$177M FY), but operating efficiency modestly improved in Q2; expense discipline and revenue mix will be key to sustaining ROATCE .

Appendix: Additional Detail

KPIs (Quarterly)

KPIQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Deposits ($USD Billions)$6.463 $6.710 $6.626
Gross Loans ($USD Billions)$5.173 $5.144 $5.257
CET1 Ratio (%)12.05% 12.20% 12.37%
TCE/TA (%)7.94% 8.14% 8.33%
NPAs / Assets (%)0.25% 0.23% 0.26%
NCOs / Avg Loans (%)0.06% 0.01% 0.04%

Notes: All metrics from company’s Q2 2024 earnings materials and transcripts as cited above. Non-GAAP metrics are defined and reconciled in the slide appendix .